Your prediction is quite amusing: Either it'll win or it will loose :)
But you're right: there won't be much or a grey area:
- it'll loose because the video quality is not good-enough
- it'll win because it's an open-standard and easy to adopt (HTML5)
and the quality if sufficient for web video.
..or it'll really loose because of some patent issue. I'm not aware of a
"huge patent war", do you have any pointers? There's always PPL
spreading FUD but nothing substantial has turned up [yet].
A good objective analysis (though a bit dated) is
The smart thing of google was to add a clause that google allows you to
use their patents on VP8 (the webm video codec) if and only if you agree
to that you won't sue anyone else with patents you may own related to
webm. - Well, it's a bit more complicated in lawyer-speak; and it's a
thorn in the flesh of the Free-Software purists.
But heck, there are quite a lot of big companies (incl. Cisco, LG,
Samsung,..) who have agreed to those terms.
On 07/25/2011 10:28 PM, Philipp Überbacher wrote: